Investment Strategy
1 minute read
How can I invest for climate change?
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Water is essential to life on Earth—and plays an obvious role in agriculture and food production.
Yet you might not see all the ways in which companies across the economy rely on water. Water is used to cool data centers, dye textiles, mix concrete, generate electricity, and suppress dust in mines. Water is also essential to create semiconductors for “smart” phones and devices, which require the liquid to be uniquely and highly purified.
As industrial demand for water rises, however, access is becoming precarious.1 Water stores from rainfall, reservoirs and rivers are in decline.2 In response, nearly a dozen U.S. states have recently passed laws limiting water usage.
Faced with disruption in their water supply, companies are innovating.
We see forward-thinking companies across both public and private markets spearheading new approaches to monitor and optimize water usage—often deploying technology powered by artificial intelligence (AI). Change is already taking place in water-intensive industries—including agriculture, apparel and electronics—as existing companies adapt to water restrictions and newer startups drive change in sensor and filtration technology.
As an investor, you can look at these water-related developments as new opportunities to strategically deploy your capital across public and private markets.
While businesses and communities need water, it isn’t always easy to get or manage. Less than 1% of the Earth’s water is usable fresh water—and in recent years, climate change has made access to fresh water even less secure.4
In response to these changes, policymakers around the world (including Australia, the European Union, Iran, South Africa and the United States) have all introduced policies to regulate water use.5,6,7,8,3
These regulations vary widely. Some countries have designed complex systems of water rights, while others have simply restricted residential water use. Some have incentivized the reuse of wastewater, while others have curbed companies’ ability to extract groundwater (which is how most farmers have historically irrigated their fields).
Regardless of the regulatory mechanism, each of these policies is designed to reduce and reprice water consumption. And across the world, residents and businesses alike are feeling the squeeze.9
Faced with uncertainty around their water supplies, some companies are adapting quickly while others are slower to change. In three particularly water-intensive sectors, we see attractive leaders mitigating risks and investing for resiliency faster than their peers:
Agriculture: Many of the new groundwater restrictions target farming, which is responsible for 80% of total fresh water withdrawals across the United States.10 In response, farmers are switching to “smart” irrigation systems that use water more precisely and avoid runoff. These systems enable some farms to use up to 99% less water than traditional or industrial approaches.11 With the global population expected to grow by 2 billion people over the next 30 years,12 spurring a need to increase food production, the “smart agriculture” market is expected to rise at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 13.7% through 2030.13
Apparel: Textile production is responsible for 20% of the world’s fresh water pollution, and consumers are increasingly critical of the sector for its water waste.14 Recently, a clothing company in California responded to the backlash by collecting old garments from customers and salvaging them to create premium new pieces. They successfully collected and recycled over 2 million garments in 2022, saving 24.3 million gallons of water in the process.15 These innovations have drawn praise and profits. According to a recent study, 73% of consumers who care about sustainability now say they are willing to pay more for sustainable products (up from just 50% in 2022).16
Semiconductors: Historically, chip manufacturers have needed immense amounts of water to produce semiconductors. And semiconductors don’t just use fresh water—they require “ultrapure” water (1,000 times purer than drinking water) to clean the silicone layers during chip production.17 Faced with growing water scarcity, one semiconductor company in Texas changed its practices to reduce its water consumption by 68% per chip.18 The company now promotes its water management practices as a way to mitigate supply chain risk—which is a major concern for investors given the global chip shortage over the past three years.19
As inexpensive water gets harder to secure, we expect to see winners and losers in each of these sectors. We believe that the companies best positioned for success are those with the foresight and ability to proactively adapt to the evolving environment—making them more attractive long-term investments.
Some companies are moving beyond incremental change and creating entirely new technology to conserve and clean water more effectively and profitably.
New AI-powered sensors, for example, can help communities plan for natural disasters that would otherwise stress local water systems. Meanwhile, AI-powered diagnostic tools help companies to better anticipate consumer demand, optimize distribution networks, identify repair needs and send out contaminant alerts.20,21 These new tools include biosensors, “smart” meters, pumps, valves and even aquatic drones.
At the cutting edge of technology, commercial scientists are using electrochemistry and materials science to create new filters that can better purify wastewater. These new tools not only clean water but also capture high-value proteins, metals and minerals, which can then be salvaged and sold.22
Often, these breakthrough applications appear first in private markets, where investors ought to expect higher risk and potentially higher rewards for capitalizing early-stage technology. But opportunities may also arise in public markets, where companies are eager to apply new strategies to improve resiliency, reduce costs and find new sources of revenue.
Whether you’re interested in private markets, public markets, or both, the risks and opportunities that come from shifting water demands can be well worth exploring.
To learn more about the opportunities in sustainable water technology that may better align with your values and financial goals, speak with your J.P. Morgan team.
1Growing municipal and agricultural demand for clean water is being exacerbated by increasing industry demand for clean water to support manufacturing processes. The global market size for water and wastewater treatment was valued at $295 billion in 2022; it climbed to an estimated $314 billion in 2023. The market is expected to grow to more than $572 billion by 2032, according to Precedence Research.
2“Diminishing storage returns of reservoir construction,” Nature Communications, May 17, 2023.
3Sandi Schwartz, “Water Restrictions Are Expanding,” BobVila.com, July 25 2022.
4“Earth’s Fresh Water,” National Geographic Society, September 2022.
5“Water Restrictions,” Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, February 2024.
6 “In Iran, Some Are Chasing the Last Drops of Water,” New York Times, June 2023.
7"EU countries restrict drinking water access,” Deutsche Welle, July 2022.
8“Water and Sanitation imposes 18% water restrictions in Greater Bloemfontein Water Supply System,” South African Government, June 2023.
9Ann Carrns, “Water Bills Are Rising. Here’s What to Do About It.” The New York Times, July 14, 2023.
10Sarah Rehkamp, Patrick Canning and Catherine Birney, “Tracking the U.S. Domestic Food Supply Chain’s Freshwater Use Over Time,” Economic Research Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture, July 15, 2021.
11Jane Marsh, “How Vertical Farming Can Save Water,” Agrilinks, February 23, 2023.
12United Nations, “Global Issues: Population,” November 2022.
13“Smart agriculture” refers to a variety of technologies that enable precision farming, including livestock monitoring, autonomous harvesting and, in this case, precision irrigation. Grand View Research, “Smart Agriculture Market Size & Trends,”2024.
14European Parliament, “The impact of textile production and waste on the environment,” November 15, 2023.
15The Ecosystem Integrity Fund, “Annual Impact Report,” 2022.
16Luq Niazi, Joe Dittmar, Karl Hallner et al, “2024 Consumer Study: Revolutionize retail with AI everywhere,” IBM Institute for Business Value, January 5, 2024.
17Prakash Govindan, “Water’s Critical Role in Semiconductor Manufacturing,” Industry Today, January 18, 2022.
18CDP Water Security 2023 Questionnaire, CDP Worldwide.
19Asa Fitch and Greg Ip, “Chips Are the New Oil and America Is Spending Billions to Safeguard Its Supply,” The Wall Street Journal, January 14, 2023.
20Andy Fell, “AI Institute for Food Systems Showcases Projects in DC,” University of California, Davis, October 2023.
21Hesam Kamyab, Tayebeh Khademi and Shreeshivadasan Chelliapan et al, “The Latest Innovative Avenues for the Utilization of Artificial Intelligence and Big Data Analytics in Water Resource Management,” Results in Engineering, November 2023.
22Zachary Bogue and Zach Ocko, “DCVC Deep Tech Opportunities Report,”DCVC, July 21, 2023.
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