Investing in the themes of the future
Why we think security and infrastructure have transformative potential and could play a role in your long-term growth strategy
Investing in the themes of the future
Why we think security and infrastructure have transformative potential and could play a role in your long-term growth strategy
How investing in the themes of the future may help your portfolio
Thematic investing is not as well-known as we think it could be. We gathered some of our top investing professionals from around the globe to answer a few questions sophisticated investors ask us most frequently about thematic investing—and to share what we believe are the most exciting themes right now.
Our specialists
Grace Peters
Global Head of Investment Strategy
Mark Hempstead
Head of Alternative Investments, EMEA
Nataliia Lipikhina
Executive Director, Head of EMEA Equity Strategy
Folarin Oyeleye
Team Lead for U.K. Client Advisors
What exactly do we mean when we're talking about thematic investing? And to us, these are long-term, global trends that are really shaping the landscape that we see in the way that we live our lives, but most importantly, what we also see for financial markets.
When we think about, you know, the Outlook and we've been talking with clients a lot this year about how we think the economy is strong, but we're aware of these fragilities that seem to exist when it comes to global tensions and some of the transitions that we're going through. A lot of that leads to greater capital expenditures.
(SPEECH)
What
(DESCRIPTION)
Grace Peters, Global Head of Investment Strategy, J.P. Morgan Private Bank. She speaks to a panel. They all sit in comfortable chairs in a living room type of setting.
(SPEECH)
exactly do we mean when we're talking about thematic investing? And to us, these are long-term global trends that are really shaping the landscape that we see in the way that we live our lives, but most importantly, what we also see for financial markets.
When we think about the outlook, and we've been talking with clients a lot this year about how we think the economy is strong, but we're aware of these fragilities that seem to exist when it comes to global tensions and some of the transitions that we're going through, a lot of that leads to greater capital expenditures.
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Text: J.P.Morgan PRIVATE BANK. KEY RISKS, This material is for informational purposes only and may inform you of certain products and services offered by private banking businesses part of JPMorgan Chase & Ca.("IPM") Products and services described, as well as associated fees, charges, and interest rates, are subject to change in accordance with the applicable account agreements and may differ among geographic locations Not all products and services are offered at all locations If you are a person with a disability and need additional support accessing this material please contact your JP Morgan team or email us at accessibility dot supports @ j p morgan dot com for assistance Please read all Important Information.
GENERAL RISKS and CONSIDERATIONS, Any views, strategies or products discussed in this material may not be appropriate for all Individuals and are subject to risks. Investors may get back less than they invested and past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Asset allocation/diversification does not guarantee profit or protect against loss. Nothing in this material should be relied upon in isolation for the purpose of making an investment decision. You are urged to consider carefully whether the services. products, asset classes, (e.g., equities, fixed income, alternative investments, commodities etc, or strategies discussed are suitable to your needs You must also consider the objectives, risks, charges and expenses associated with an investment service product or strategy prior to making on investment decision. For this and more complete information, including discussion of your goals/situation, contact your JP Morgan team.
NON-RELIANCE, Certain information contained in this material is believed to be reliable; however, JPM does not represent or warrant its accuracy. reliability or completeness or accept any liability for any lessor damage (whether direct or indirect) arising out of the use of all or any part of this material. No representation or warranty should be made with regard to any computations, graphs, tables, diagrams or commentary in this material which are provided for illustration/reference purposes only The views, opinions, estimates and strategies expressed in this material constitutes judgment based on current market conditions and are subject to change without notice. JPM assumes no duty to update any information in this material in the event that such information changes. Views, opinions, estimates and strategies expressed herein may differ from those expressed by other areas of JPM, views expressed for other purposes or in other contexts, and this material should not be regarded as a research report. Any projected results and risks are based solely on hypothetical examples cited and actual results and risks will vary depending on specific circumstances. Forward-looking statements should not be considered as guarantees or predictions of future events,
Nothing in this document shall be construed as giving rise to any duty of care owed to or advisory relationship with you or any third party. Nothing in this document shall be regarded as an offer, solicitation, recommendation or advice (whether financial accounting legal. tax or other) given by IP. Morgan and/or its officers or employees, irrespective of whether or not such communication was given at your request. JP Morgan and its affiliates and employees do not provide tax. legal or accounting advice. You should consult your own tax legal and accounting advisors before engaging in any financial transactions.
IMPORTANT INFORMATION ABOUTYOUR INVESTMENTS AND POTENTIAL CONFLICTSOR INTEREST, Conflicts of interest will arise whenever JPMorgan Chase Bank NA. or any of its affiliates (together "J.P. Morgan") have an actual or perceived economic or other incentive in its management of our clients portfolios to act in a way that benefits JP Morgan. Conflicts will result, for example (to the extent the following activities are permitted in your account) (1) when J.P. Morgan invests in an investment product such on a mutual fund, structured product separately managed account or hedge fund issued or managed by JPMorgan Chase Bank N.A. or an affiliate such in JP. Morgan Investment Management Inc. (2) when a JP Morgan entity obtains services including trade execution and trade clearing from an affiliate, (3), when LP. Morgan receives payment as a result of purchasing an investment product for client's account or (4) when JP Morgan receives payment for providing services (including shareholder servicing recordkeeping or custody) with respect to investment products purchased for client's portfolio. Other conflicts will result because of relationships than JP Morgan has with other clients or when JP Morgan acts for its own account.
Investment strategies are selected from both JP Morgan and third-party asset managers and are subject to a review process by our manager research teams. From this pool of strategies our portfolio construction teams select those strategies we believe it our asset allocation goals and forward-looking views in order to meet the portfolio's investment objective. As a general matter. we prefer JP Morgan managed strategies. We expect the proportion of JP Morgan managed strategies will be high (in fact. up to 100 percent) in strategies such as for example, cash and high-quality fixed income subject to applicable law and any account-specific considerations.
While our internally managed strategies generally align well with our forward-looking views and wears familiar with the investment processes or well as the risk and compliance philosophy of the firm, it is important to note that JP Morgan receives more overall fees when internally managed strategies are included. We offer the option of choosing to exclude JP Morgan managed strategies (other than cash and liquidity products) in certain portfolios. The Six Circles Funds are U.S. registered mutual funds managed by J.P. Morgan and sub-advised by third parties. Although considered internally managed strategies, JPMC does not retain a fee for fund management or other fund services. A long section follows on legal, entity, brand and regulatory information for many different countries.
References to "JP Morgan" are to JPM, its subsidiaries and affiliates worldwide "JP Morgan Private Bank" is the brand name for the private banking business conducted by IPM. This material is intended for your personal use and should not be circulated to or used by any other person, or duplicated for non-personal use. without our permission. If you have any questions or no longer wish to receive these communications please contact your J.P. Morgan team. Copyright 2024 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved.
This information is provided for informational purposes only. We believe the information contained in this video to be reliable; however, we do not represent or warrant its accuracy, reliability or completeness, or accept any liability for any loss or damage arising out of the use of any information in this video The views expressed herein are those of the speakers and may differ from those of other I.P. Morgan employees, and are subject to change without notice. Nothing in this video is intended to constitute a representation that any product or strategy is suitable for you. Nothing in this document shall be regarded as an offer. solicitation. recommendation or advice (whether financial accounting legal, tax or other) given by J.P. Morgan and/or its officers or employees to you. You should consult your independent professional advisors concerning accounting legal or tax matters. Contact your J.P. Morgan team for additional information and guidance concerning your personal investment goals.
What is thematic investing?
A well-chosen investing theme is very different from a market fad: It’s a fundamental shift in the direction of business or the economy. It’s not a promise of a coming revolution. It’s a change that is already underway.
My recommendation is always start from the very basic. What is your goal? What are you trying to achieve with your wealth? What's the intent for your wealth? When you then start to put those segments and buckets in place, then you can start to assign strategic asset allocations to those various segments in those various buckets. So that's the starting point.
When you then get to that position, you need to figure out what you want to invest in and in there you then get to thematic investing in that strategic asset allocation. If you're taking the public investing piece, it's very liquid and gives you, you know, easy returns to access. When you're thinking of the private investing space, you're thinking of long-term investing, but it can be fairly illiquid.
It is a bit higher risk than public markets will be. Usually the conversation with the client starts with that–get a goal and then get an understanding of what we're trying to achieve.
(DESCRIPTION)
Folarin Oyeleye, UK Advisor & Market Team Lead. He speaks to three others, who sit in comfortable chairs in a living room type setting.
(SPEECH)
Our recommendation is always start from the very basic. What is your goal? What are you trying to achieve with your wealth? What's the intent for your wealth? When you then start to put those segments and buckets in place, then you can then start to assign strategic asset allocations to those various segments and those various buckets. So that's the starting point.
When you then get to that position, you then need to figure out what you want to invest in. And in there, you then get to thematic investing in that strategic asset allocation. If you're taking the public investing piece, it's very liquid and gives you easy returns to access. When you're thinking of the private investing space, you're thinking of long-term investing, but it can be fairly illiquid. It is a bit higher risk than public markets will be.
Usually, the conversation with the client starts with that. Get a goal, and then get an understanding of what we're trying to achieve.
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Text: J.P.Morgan PRIVATE BANK. KEY RISKS, This material is for informational purposes only and may inform you of certain products and services offered by private banking businesses part of JPMorgan Chase & Ca.("IPM") Products and services described, as well as associated fees, charges, and interest rates, are subject to change in accordance with the applicable account agreements and may differ among geographic locations Not all products and services are offered at all locations If you are a person with a disability and need additional support accessing this material please contact your JP Morgan team or email us at accessibility dot supports @ j p morgan dot com for assistance Please read all Important Information.
GENERAL RISKS and CONSIDERATIONS, Any views, strategies or products discussed in this material may not be appropriate for all Individuals and are subject to risks. Investors may get back less than they invested and past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Asset allocation/diversification does not guarantee profit or protect against loss. Nothing in this material should be relied upon in isolation for the purpose of making an investment decision. You are urged to consider carefully whether the services. products, asset classes, (e.g., equities, fixed income, alternative investments, commodities etc, or strategies discussed are suitable to your needs You must also consider the objectives, risks, charges and expenses associated with an investment service product or strategy prior to making on investment decision. For this and more complete information, including discussion of your goals/situation, contact your JP Morgan team.
NON-RELIANCE, Certain information contained in this material is believed to be reliable; however, JPM does not represent or warrant its accuracy. reliability or completeness or accept any liability for any lessor damage (whether direct or indirect) arising out of the use of all or any part of this material. No representation or warranty should be made with regard to any computations, graphs, tables, diagrams or commentary in this material which are provided for illustration/reference purposes only The views, opinions, estimates and strategies expressed in this material constitutes judgment based on current market conditions and are subject to change without notice. JPM assumes no duty to update any information in this material in the event that such information changes. Views, opinions, estimates and strategies expressed herein may differ from those expressed by other areas of JPM, views expressed for other purposes or in other contexts, and this material should not be regarded as a research report. Any projected results and risks are based solely on hypothetical examples cited and actual results and risks will vary depending on specific circumstances. Forward-looking statements should not be considered as guarantees or predictions of future events,
Nothing in this document shall be construed as giving rise to any duty of care owed to or advisory relationship with you or any third party. Nothing in this document shall be regarded as an offer, solicitation, recommendation or advice (whether financial accounting legal. tax or other) given by IP. Morgan and/or its officers or employees, irrespective of whether or not such communication was given at your request. JP Morgan and its affiliates and employees do not provide tax. legal or accounting advice. You should consult your own tax legal and accounting advisors before engaging in any financial transactions.
IMPORTANT INFORMATION ABOUTYOUR INVESTMENTS AND POTENTIAL CONFLICTSOR INTEREST, Conflicts of interest will arise whenever JPMorgan Chase Bank NA. or any of its affiliates (together "J.P. Morgan") have an actual or perceived economic or other incentive in its management of our clients portfolios to act in a way that benefits JP Morgan. Conflicts will result, for example (to the extent the following activities are permitted in your account) (1) when J.P. Morgan invests in an investment product such on a mutual fund, structured product separately managed account or hedge fund issued or managed by JPMorgan Chase Bank N.A. or an affiliate such in JP. Morgan Investment Management Inc. (2) when a JP Morgan entity obtains services including trade execution and trade clearing from an affiliate, (3), when LP. Morgan receives payment as a result of purchasing an investment product for client's account or (4) when JP Morgan receives payment for providing services (including shareholder servicing recordkeeping or custody) with respect to investment products purchased for client's portfolio. Other conflicts will result because of relationships than JP Morgan has with other clients or when JP Morgan acts for its own account.
Investment strategies are selected from both JP Morgan and third-party asset managers and are subject to a review process by our manager research teams. From this pool of strategies our portfolio construction teams select those strategies we believe it our asset allocation goals and forward-looking views in order to meet the portfolio's investment objective. As a general matter. we prefer JP Morgan managed strategies. We expect the proportion of JP Morgan managed strategies will be high (in fact. up to 100 percent) in strategies such as for example, cash and high-quality fixed income subject to applicable law and any account-specific considerations.
While our internally managed strategies generally align well with our forward-looking views and wears familiar with the investment processes or well as the risk and compliance philosophy of the firm, it is important to note that JP Morgan receives more overall fees when internally managed strategies are included. We offer the option of choosing to exclude JP Morgan managed strategies (other than cash and liquidity products) in certain portfolios. The Six Circles Funds are U.S. registered mutual funds managed by J.P. Morgan and sub-advised by third parties. Although considered internally managed strategies, JPMC does not retain a fee for fund management or other fund services. A long section follows on legal, entity, brand and regulatory information for many different countries.
References to "JP Morgan" are to JPM, its subsidiaries and affiliates worldwide "JP Morgan Private Bank" is the brand name for the private banking business conducted by IPM. This material is intended for your personal use and should not be circulated to or used by any other person, or duplicated for non-personal use. without our permission. If you have any questions or no longer wish to receive these communications please contact your J.P. Morgan team. Copyright 2024 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved.
This information is provided for informational purposes only. We believe the information contained in this video to be reliable; however, we do not represent or warrant its accuracy, reliability or completeness, or accept any liability for any loss or damage arising out of the use of any information in this video The views expressed herein are those of the speakers and may differ from those of other I.P. Morgan employees, and are subject to change without notice. Nothing in this video is intended to constitute a representation that any product or strategy is suitable for you. Nothing in this document shall be regarded as an offer. solicitation. recommendation or advice (whether financial accounting legal, tax or other) given by J.P. Morgan and/or its officers or employees to you. You should consult your independent professional advisors concerning accounting legal or tax matters. Contact your J.P. Morgan team for additional information and guidance concerning your personal investment goals.
How do I start integrating thematic investing into my portfolio?
Begin with your goals, then explore thematic investing for specific buckets in your wealth plan for a balanced and strategic portfolio.
Why should you consider thematic investing?
Spreading a portion of your portfolio across multiple themes can potentially reduce risk and be an effective hedge against inflation.
Many investors appreciate thematic investing not only for its potential financial gains, but also for the personal satisfaction it brings, as it enables them to invest in areas they are passionate about, keeping them actively involved.
What themes stand out right now?
As the economy potentially approaches a period of moderating economic growth, investors focusing on major themes can potentially benefit from long-term investment cycles.
Today, we’re focused on the significant potential of two long-term themes: security and infrastructure. These themes may seem familiar to experienced investors, but that confirms their durability. In our view, they are neither priced in nor played out.
And when we're thinking about a strong growth in a fragile world, there are also many security driven opportunities that we see in equity markets. So take us through how you're thinking about that.
Yeah, absolutely, Grace. If you look into the world right now, you're seeing very high geopolitical tensions. You have cyber-attacks and we have climate risk. So therefore, the security becomes a very important theme right now. And that is interesting. It encompasses a lot of different things: national defense, reshoring and near shoring, as well as the resilience of supply chains, and the security from a cybersecurity and energy security perspective.
So when we look into corporates and governments, we're seeing how they are ramping up their spending. Very innovative spending, making a lot of investments, opportunities for investors. When you look into reshoring, for example, more than 320 billion of reshoring was announced since 2021. We're seeing how countries around the world increase defense spending, especially countries within NATO– but also energy.
Energy is going through a big transition because countries globally are trying to refigure it. What will be the right way going forward, in terms of securing energy sources, but also having clean energy?
That's a global theme, a multiyear theme. Cyber, also, is a risk that's front of mind for many of our clients in their own businesses and in their personal lives, as much as in the investment portfolio.
A very growing theme. Cyber-attacks now cost $10 billion per annum, which is a very big number and something that we're seeing a lot of corporates increasing their spending on.
(DESCRIPTION)
Grace Peters, Global Head of Investment Strategy, J.P. Morgan Private Bank.
(SPEECH)
And when we're thinking about a strong growth in a fragile world, there are also many security-driven opportunities that we see in equity markets. So take us through how you're thinking about that.
(DESCRIPTION)
Nataliia Lipikhina, Head of EMEA Equity Strategy.
(SPEECH)
Yeah, absolutely, grace.
(DESCRIPTION)
Grace sits across a low table from Nataliia. Two men sit on either side of Nataliia.
(SPEECH)
If you look into the world right now, you're seeing the very high geopolitical tensions. You have cyber attacks, and we're having the climate risk. So therefore, the security becomes a very important theme right now. And that is interesting. That encompasses a lot of different things-- national defense, the reshoring and nearshoring as well as resilient supply chains, and the security from a cybersecurity and energy security perspective.
So when we look into the corporates and governments, we're seeing how they are ramping up their spending, very innovative spending, making a lot of investments, opportunities for investors. When you look into reshoring, for example, more than $320 billion of reshoring was announced since 2021. We're seeing how countries around the world increase in defense spending, especially countries within the NATO, but also energy. Energy is going through a big transition because countries globally are trying to reinvigorate what will be the right way going forward in terms of securing their energy sources, but also having clean energy.
So it's a global theme, a multiyear theme. Cyber also is a risk that's front of mind for many of our clients in their own businesses and in their personal lives, as much as in the investment portfolio.
A very growing theme. Cyber attacks now cost $10 billion per annum, which is a very big number and something that we're seeing a lot of corporates are increasing their spending on.
(DESCRIPTION)
Text: J.P. Morgan Private Bank.
(SPEECH)
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KEY RISKS. This material is for informational purposes only, and may inform you of certain products and services offered by private banking businesses, part of JP Morgan Chase & Co ("JPM"). Products and services described, as well as associated fees, charges and interest rates, are subject to change in accordance with the applicable account agreements and may differ among geographic locations. Not all products and services are offered at all locations. If you are a person with a disability and need additional support accessing this material, please contact your J.P. Morgan team or email us at accessibility.support@j.p. morgan.com for assistance. Please read all Important Information. GENERAL RISKS & CONSIDERATIONS. Any views, strategies or products discussed in the material may not be appropriate for all individuals and are subject to risks. Investors may get back less than they invested, and past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Asset allocation/diversification does not guarantee a profit or protect against loss. Nothing in this material should be relied upon in isolation for the purpose of making an investment decision. You are urged to consider carefully whether the services, products, asset classes (e.g., equities, fixed income, alternative investments, commodities, etc.) or strategies discussed are suitable to your needs. You must also consider the objectives, risks, charges, and expenses associated with an investment service, product or strategy prior to making an investment decision. For this and more complete information, including discussion of your goals/situation, contact your J.P. Morgan team.
NON-RELIANCE. Certain information contained in this material is believed to be reliable; however, JPM does not represent or warrant its accuracy, reliability or completeness, or accept any liability for any loss or damage (whether direct or indirect) arising out of the use of all or any part of this material. No representation or warranty should be made with regard to any computations, graphs, tables, diagrams or commentary in this material, which are provided for illustration/reference purposes only. The views, opinions, estimates and strategies expressed in this material constitute our judgement based on current market conditions and are subject to change without notice. JPM assumes no duty to update any information in this material in the event that such information changes. Views, opinions, estimates and strategies expressed herein may differ from those expressed by other areas of JPM, views expressed for other purposes or in other contexts, and this material should not be regarded as a research report. Any projected results and risks are based solely on hypothetical examples cited, and actual results and risks will vary depending on specific circumstances. Forward-looking statements should not be considered as guarantees or predictions of future events. Nothing in this document shall be construed as giving rise to any duty of care owed to, or advisory relationship with, you or any third party. Nothing in this document shall be regarded as an offer, solicitation, recommendation or advice (whether financial, accounting, legal, tax or other) given by J.P. Morgan and/or its officers or employees, irrespective of whether or not such communication was given at your request. J.P. Morgan and its affiliates and employees do not provide tax, legal or accounting advice. You should consult your own tax, legal and accounting advisors before engaging in any financial transactions.
IMPORTANT INFORMATION ABOUT YOUR INVESTMENTS AND POTENTIAL CONFLICTS OF INTEREST. Conflicts of interest will arise whenever JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A. or any of its affiliates (together, “J.P. Morgan”) have an actual or perceived economic or other incentive in its management of our clients’ portfolios to act in a way that benefits J.P.Morgan. Conflicts will result, for example (to the extent the following activities are permitted in your account): (1) when J.P. Morgan invests in an investment product, such as a mutual fund, structured product, separately managed account or hedge fund issued or managed by JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A. or an affiliate, such as J.P. Morgan Investment Management Inc.; (2) when a J.P. Morgan entity obtains services, including trade execution and trade clearing, from an affiliate; (3) when J.P. Morgan receives payment as a result of purchasing an investment product for a client's account; or (4) when J.P. Morgan receives payment for providing services (including shareholder servicing, recordkeeping or custody) with respect to investment products purchased for a client’s portfolio. Other conflicts will result because of relationships that J.P. Morgan has with other clients or when J.P. Morgan acts for its own account. Investment strategies are selected from both J.P. Morgan and third-party asset managers and are subject to a review process by our manager research teams. From this pool of strategies, our portfolio construction teams select those strategies we believe fit our asset allocation goals and forward-looking views in order to meet the portfolio’s investment objective. As a general matter, we prefer J.P. Morgan managed strategies. We expect the proportion of J.P. Morgan managed strategies will be high (in fact, up to 100 percent) in strategies such as, for example, cash and high-quality fixed income, subject to applicable law and any account-specific considerations. While our internally managed strategies generally align well with our forward-looking views, and we are familiar with the investment processes as well as the risk and compliance philosophy of the firm, it is important to note that J.P. Morgan receives more overall fees when internally managed strategies are included. We offer the option of choosing to exclude J.P. Morgan managed strategies (other than cash and liquidity products) in certain portfolios. The Six Circles Funds are U.S.-registered mutual funds managed by J.P. Morgan and sub-advised by third parties. Although considered internally managed strategies, JPMC does not retain a fee for fund management or other fund services.
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This information is provided for informational purposes only. We believe the information contained in this video to be reliable: however, we do not represent or warrant its accuracy, reliability or completeness, or accept any liability for any loss or damage arising out of the use of any information in this video. The views expressed herein are those of the speakers and may differ from those of other J.P. Morgan employees, and are subject to change without notice. Nothing in this video is intended to constitute a representation that any product or strategy is suitable for you. Nothing in this document shall be regarded as an offer, solicitation, recommendation or advice (whether financial, accounting, legal, tax or other) given by J.P. Morgan and/or its officers or employees to you. You should consult your independent professional advisors concerning accounting, legal or tax matters. Contact your J.P. Morgan team for additional information and guidance concerning your personal investment goals.
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Grace Peters, Global Head of Investment Strategy, J.P. Morgan Private Bank.
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And when we're thinking about a strong growth in a fragile world, there are also many security-driven opportunities that we see in equity markets. So take us through how you're thinking about that.
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Nataliia Lipikhina, Head of EMEA Equity Strategy.
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Yeah, absolutely, grace.
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Grace sits across a low table from Nataliia. Two men sit on either side of Nataliia.
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If you look into the world right now, you're seeing the very high geopolitical tensions. You have cyber attacks, and we're having the climate risk. So therefore, the security becomes a very important theme right now. And that is interesting. That encompasses a lot of different things-- national defense, the reshoring and nearshoring as well as resilient supply chains, and the security from a cybersecurity and energy security perspective.
So when we look into the corporates and governments, we're seeing how they are ramping up their spending, very innovative spending, making a lot of investments, opportunities for investors. When you look into reshoring, for example, more than $320 billion of reshoring was announced since 2021. We're seeing how countries around the world increase in defense spending, especially countries within the NATO, but also energy. Energy is going through a big transition because countries globally are trying to reinvigorate what will be the right way going forward in terms of securing their energy sources, but also having clean energy.
So it's a global theme, a multiyear theme. Cyber also is a risk that's front of mind for many of our clients in their own businesses and in their personal lives, as much as in the investment portfolio.
A very growing theme. Cyber attacks now cost $10 billion per annum, which is a very big number and something that we're seeing a lot of corporates are increasing their spending on.
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Text: J.P. Morgan Private Bank.
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Security is an interesting opportunity internationally. Why?
Security is a theme we believe has two key aspects: physical—including border security, supply chain resilience and energy security—and cybersecurity. At a time of real-world conflict, and with cyberattacks reaching all-time highs in recent years, these have all become critical concerns.
How do I get started investing in security?
We expect to see investment opportunities emerge particularly among aerospace, defense and leading cybersecurity firms, driven by rising defense budgets and the development of new, more advanced digital technologies.
We are focused on companies that specialize in energy management and developing essential electrical infrastructure. We see opportunities in companies providing wider access to diversified power sources, including renewable energy, and those delivering critical raw materials. Opportunities exist both within public and private companies, but as always, manager selection is key.
Is this core asset because you're thinking of things which are essential services to everyday society. So it's roads, it's bridges, it's sanitation, it's water treatment, all of these things together. So pretty boring. Pretty defensive.
Purposely boring, but long-term contracts. So when you have those long-term contracts, these essential assets, it provides diversification. You know, this is something which is delivering returns or delivering growth. That's not necessarily tied to what's going on in the broader economy. The fact is, because it is such a core asset when you're thinking of those, these are elements which have very inelastic demand.
You always need these things. They’re at the base of what our societies, our municipalities are run on. So the fact that you have that stable demand, it is an asset that provides long-term, stable income. It can provide protection from inflation. But then when you add these different elements like AI demand, renewable energy demand–that's the growth.
So what I'm hearing is that we've got the defensive, more steady-eddy type of the infrastructure space, but also because of new capital expenditure that's being driven by governments and also companies, we've now got these new parts of the market delivering GDP-plus type growth.
Yeah, and we think both work in a portfolio. You have that stable, core income generating, low correlation to broad markets, but then you can combine that with the growth element, as well. And that's why it's a very interesting space. When you look since 2020, you've seen profits of the infrastructure companies grow by 16% per annum, but yet returns in the markets have only been 4%.
So that also gives a unique opportunity for investors to take advantage of that dislocation that is existing right now.
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It is
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Mark Hempstead, Head of Alternative Investments, E M E A
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this core asset because you're thinking of things which are essential services to everyday society. So it's roads, it's bridges, it's sanitation, it's water treatment, all of these things together.
Pretty boring, pretty defensive.
Purposely boring, purposely boring.
But long-term contracts.
So when you have those long-term contracts, these essential assets, it provides diversification. This is something which is delivering returns or delivering growth that's not necessarily tied to what's going on in the broad economy. The fact is because it is such a core asset, when you're thinking of those, these are elements which have very inelastic demand.
You always need these things. They're at the base of what our societies, our municipalities are run on. So the fact that you have that stable demand, it is an asset that provides long-term, stable income. It can provide protection from inflation. But then when you add these different elements like AI demand, renewable energy demand, that's the growth.
(DESCRIPTION)
Grace Peters, Global Head of Investment Strategy, J.P. Morgan Private Bank
(SPEECH)
So what I'm hearing is that we've got the defensive, more steady eddy type of the infrastructure space, but also because of new capital expenditure that's being driven by governments and also companies, we've now got these new parts of the market delivering GDP plus type growth.
And we think both work in a portfolio. You have that stable, core income-generating, low correlation to broad markets. But then you can combine that with the growth element as well. And that's why it's a very interesting space.
When you look since 2020, you've seen profits of infrastructure companies grow by 16% per annum. But yet returns in the markets have only been 4%. So that also gives a unique opportunity for investors to take advantage of that dislocation that is existing right now.
(DESCRIPTION)
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Infrastructure is an interesting opportunity internationally. Why?
Looking ahead, we see several macro developments driving the infrastructure opportunity. One is greater demand for power. There’s also the rollout and adoption of AI (requiring digital infrastructure) and the energy transition from fossil fuels to more renewable power sources creating demand for renewable power generation, transport and storage. Considerable public and private market investments are required to meet these demands.
How do I get started investing in infrastructure?
If appropriate, you can gain exposure to infrastructure through private markets, where sophisticated investors can invest in companies and projects at the forefront of these activities. We see an opportunity in core infrastructure—including regulated utilities and power generation assets—that could provide a strong risk-return trade-off based on very steady demand.
Another potential entry point: more opportunistic infrastructure investments taking advantage of major trends, such as power generation for data centers and digital infrastructure to help fuel the renewable energy transformation. We recommend considering investing in funds that provide access to a number of companies in a diversified approach. You can invest in publicly traded infrastructure companies, as well.
Since 2020, you've seen profits of infrastructure companies grow by 16% per annum, yet returns in the markets have only been 4%. So that also gives a unique opportunity for investors
Security and infrastructure
Three keys to better thematic investing
Securing the future: How to invest for growth in a fragile world
Building up: How we see infrastructure
Watch the full conversation
Hi everyone. Welcome to our conversation on thematic investing. Mark, Nataliia, Folarin, thank you very much for joining us. So maybe just to start, let's level set. What exactly do we mean when we're talking about thematic investing? And to us, these are long-term, global trends that are really shaping the landscape that we see in the way that we live our lives, but most importantly, what we also see for financial markets. When we think about, you know, the Outlook and we've been talking with clients a lot this year about how we think the economy is strong, but we're aware of these fragilities that seem to exist when it comes to global tensions and some of the transitions that we're going through. A lot of that leads to greater capital expenditures. When we think about the world–strong growth in a fragile world–that's been the context of a lot of our conversations with clients this year and a lot of that, Mark, has led to conversations on infrastructure. We've commonly said that there's always a place for infrastructure in the portfolio, but given the global backdrop at the moment, it's particularly pertinent. So, why don't we dive right in with you?
It is this core asset because you're thinking of things which are essential services to everyday society. So it's roads, it's bridges, it's sanitation, it's water treatment, all of these things together. So pretty boring. Pretty defensive.
Purposely boring, but long-term contracts. So when you have those long-term contracts, these essential assets, it provides diversification. You know, this is something which is delivering returns or delivering growth. That's not necessarily tied to what's going on in the broader economy. The fact is, because it is such a core asset when you're thinking of those, these are elements which have very inelastic demand.
You always need these things. They’re at the base of of what our societies, our municipalities are run on. So the fact that you have that stable demand, it is an asset that provides long-term, stable income. It can provide protection from inflation. But then when you add these different elements like AI demand, renewable energy demand–that’s the growth. And so you're marrying these things together. And one of the most compelling things about infrastructure, regardless of where you are in that spectrum, is it tends to be something which has a lot of correlation benefits. It doesn’t–to make your returns for these assets to grow or be in demand–it doesn't necessarily rely on what's going on in the stock or the bond market. And so that's why it's such a good complement and a very resilient asset overall.
So what I'm hearing is that we've got the defensive, more steady-eddy type of the infrastructure space, but also because of new capital expenditure that's being driven by governments and also companies, we've now got these new parts of the market delivering GDP-plus type growth we think, which is where we think the additive, you know, advantage is for infrastructure.
Yeah, and we think both work in a portfolio. You have that stable, core income generating, low correlation to broad markets, but then you can combine that with the growth element, as well. And that's why it's a very interesting space. When you look since 2020, you've seen profits of the infrastructure companies grow by 16% per annum, but yet returns in the markets have only been 4%. So that also gives a unique opportunity for investors to take advantage of that dislocation that is existing right now.
And then you're also adding in what are these transformational growth trends that we talk a lot about. So the demand for AI, where you need data to go along with that, data centers, fiber networks, all of that combined. And then if you're delivering all of that new data and that demand for power, that power has to be done in a more clean way. And so renewable energy infrastructure is what ties together with that as well.
Yes. So data centers are definitely key. And I think what the market really under-appreciates is the amount of power needs that will be needed, especially for AI. So that brings a lot of opportunities in different sectors: industrials, utilities, but also technology sector. But it's not a very expensive sector, but also quite under-looked, but also with the cash rates going down, they provide a very interesting yield because of the dividend yield that they are playing.
And when we're thinking about a strong growth in a fragile world, there are also many security driven opportunities that we see in equity markets. So take us through how you're thinking about that.
Yeah, absolutely, Grace. If you look into the world right now, you’re seeing very high geopolitical tensions. You have cyber-attacks and we have climate risk. So therefore, the security becomes a very important theme right now. And that is interesting. It encompasses a lot of different things: national defense, reshoring and near shoring, as well as the resilience of supply chains, and the security from a cybersecurity and energy security perspective.
So when we look into corporates and governments, we're seeing how they are ramping up their spending. Very innovative spending, making a lot of investments, opportunities for investors. When you look into reshoring, for example, more than 320 billion of reshoring was announced since 2021. We're seeing how countries around the world increase defense spending, especially countries within NATO–but also energy.
Energy is going through a big transition because countries globally are trying to refigure it. What will be the right way going forward, in terms of securing energy sources, but also having clean energy?
That's a global theme, a multiyear theme. Cyber, also, is a risk that’s front of mind for many of our clients in their own businesses and in their personal lives, as much as in the investment portfolio.
A very growing theme. Cyber-attacks now cost $10 billion per annum, which is a very big number and something that we're seeing a lot of corporates increasing their spending on.
You see a lot of young, private companies which are finding the new solutions to this. And then the large companies that are most in need of these solutions are looking for things that they can bring into their business. So an opportunity across the value chain and you see how these different things come together. So the need for more data, the need to secure that data. The need for more data, well, that's a lot more power demand and you need to be able to produce that power, but also do it in a way that's less dependent on carbon and in a renewable infrastructure context. So three different themes but all ones that tie together.
Folarin, perhaps we can bring you in here to make it a bit more practical for us. Talk us through a lot of the conversations that you're having with clients and how you contextualize thematic investing, you know, to drive returns in line with clients’ goals.
So thematic investing is one where you have to think about where it fits in in your portfolio and fits into your goals. Whether you're looking at the public side or the private side, you know that's an important piece. If you're taking the public investing piece, it's very liquid and gives you, you know, easy returns to access. When you're thinking of the private investing space, you're thinking of long-term investing, but it can be fairly illiquid. So you have to take that into consideration.
My recommendation is always start from the very basic. What is your goal? What are you trying to achieve with your wealth? What's the intent for your wealth? When you then start to put those segments and buckets in place, then you can start to assign strategic asset allocations to those various segments in those various buckets. So that's the starting point.
When you then get to that position, you need to figure out what you want to invest in and in there you then get to thematic investing in that strategic asset allocation. So usually the conversation with the client starts with that–get a goal and then get an understanding of what we're trying to achieve.
If I were to summarize, I would just pull out a few points that each of you have made, which is obviously it starts with the intent of your wealth. When we're thinking about resilient portfolios, we do see a healthy environment for risk. And the core, you know, the sort of the 60/40, the stock-bond mix, is absolutely a great starting point.
But the capital expenditures that we're seeing coming through, which often are a function of government and corporate spending in response to some of these existential risks, is also in itself an investment opportunity where we can increase factor diversification. Often, if client books have got out of kilter and where we can in private markets increase yield and really capitalize on some of those newer opportunities, as well as the more traditional sources of infrastructure.
(SPEECH)
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(DESCRIPTION)
An image shows a digital urban model with flat rooftops.
Text: Investing in the themes of the future
Grace Peters, Global Head of Investment Strategy, J.P. Morgan Private Bank
(SPEECH)
Hi, everyone. Welcome to our conversation on thematic investing.
(DESCRIPTION)
Grace sits at an office table with three guests.
(SPEECH)
Mark, Nataliia, Folarin, thank you very much for joining us. So maybe just to start, let's level set. What exactly do we mean when we're talking about thematic investing? And to us, these are long term global trends that are really shaping the landscape that we see in the way that we live our lives. But most importantly, what we also see for financial markets.
When we think about the outlook-- and we've been talking with clients a lot this year about how we think the economy is strong-- but we're aware of these fragilities that seem to exist when it comes to global tensions and some of the transitions that we're going through, a lot of that leads to greater capital expenditures. When we think about the world, strong growth in a fragile world, that's been the context a lot of our conversations with clients this year. And a lot of that, Mark, has led to conversations on infrastructure. We've commonly said that there's always a place for infrastructure in the portfolio, but given the global backdrop at the moment, it's particularly pertinent. So why don't we dive right in with you.
(DESCRIPTION)
Mark Hempstead, Head of Alternative Investments, E M E A
(SPEECH)
It is this core asset because you're thinking of things which are essential services to everyday society. So it's roads, it's bridges, it's sanitation, it's water treatment. All of these things together. So--
Pretty boring. Pretty defensive.
Purposely boring. Purposely boring
But long term contracts.
So when you have those long term contracts, these essential assets, it provides diversification. This is something which is delivering returns or delivering growth that's not necessarily tied to what's going on in the broader economy. The fact is that because it is such a core asset, when you're thinking of those, these are elements which have very inelastic demand. You always need these things there at the base of what our societies, our municipalities are run on. So the fact that you have that stable demand, it is an asset that provides long term stable income. It can provide protection from inflation. But then when you add these different elements like AI demand, renewable energy demand, that's the growth.
And so you're marrying these things together. And one of the most compelling things about infrastructure, regardless of where you are on that spectrum, is it tends to be something which has a lot of correlation benefits. It doesn't-- to make your returns, for these assets to grow or be in demand, it doesn't necessarily rely on what's going on in the stock or the bond market. And so that's why it's such a good compliment and a very resilient asset overall.
So what I'm hearing is that we've got the defensive, more steady-eddy type of the infrastructure space. But also because of new capital expenditure that's being driven by governments and also companies, we've now got these new parts of the market delivering GDP plus type growth, we think, which is where we think the additive advantages for infrastructure.
Yeah. And we think both work in a portfolio. You have that stable core, income generating, low correlation to broad markets. But then you can combine that with the growth element as well-- and that's why it's a very interesting space. When you look-- since 2020, you've seen profits of infrastructure companies grow by 16% per annum. But yet, returns in the markets have only been 4%. So that also gives a unique opportunity for investors to take advantage of that dislocation that is existing right now.
And then you're also adding in what are these transformational growth trends that we talk a lot about. So the demand for AI, well, you need data to go along with that. Data centers, fiber networks, all of that combined. And then if you're delivering all of that new data and that demand for power, that power has to be done in a more clean way. And so, renewable energy infrastructure is what ties together with that as well.
(DESCRIPTION)
Natalia Lipikhina, Head of E M E A Equity Strategy
(SPEECH)
Yes. So data centers are definitely key. And I think what the market really underappreciates is the amount of power needs that will be needed, especially for AI. So that brings a lot of opportunities in different sectors-- industrials, utilities, but also technology sector. But it's not a very expensive sector, but also quite underlooked. But also with the cash rates going down, they provide a very interesting yield because of the dividend yield that they are playing.
And when we're thinking about a strong growth in a fragile world, there are also many security driven opportunities that we see in equity markets. So take us through how you're thinking about that.
Yeah, absolutely Grace. If you look into the world right now, you're seeing the very high geopolitical tensions, you have cyber attacks, and we're having the climate risk. So therefore, the security becomes a very important theme right now. And that is interesting, it encompasses a lot of different things. National defense, the reshoring and nearshoring as well as resilient supply chains, and the security from a cybersecurity and energy security perspective. So when we look into the corporates and governments, we're seeing how they are ramping up their spending. Very innovative spending. Making a lot of investments, opportunities for investors.
When you look into reshoring, for example, more than 320 billion of reshoring was announced since 2021. We're seeing how countries around the world-- an increase in defense spending, especially countries within the NATO, but also energy. Energy is going through a big transition because countries globally are trying to refigurate what will be the right way going forward in terms of securing their energy sources, but also having clean energy.
So it's a global theme, a multiyear theme. Cyber also is a risk that's front of mind for many of our clients in their own businesses and in their personal lives as much as in the investment portfolio.
A very growing theme. Cyber attacks now cost $10 billion per annum, which is a very big number, and something that we're seeing a lot of corporates are increasing their spending on.
You see a lot of young private companies which are finding the new solutions to this. And then, the large companies that are most in need of these solutions are looking for things that they can bring into their business. So an opportunity across the value chain and you see how these different things come together. So the need for more data, the need to secure that data. The need for more data, well, that's a lot more power demand. And you need to be able to produce that power, but also do it in a way that's less dependent on carbon in a renewable infrastructure context. So three different themes, but all ones that tie together.
Folarin, perhaps we can bring you in here to make it a bit more practical for us. Talk us through a lot of the conversations that you are having with clients and how you contextualize thematic investing to drive returns in line with clients' goals.
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Folarin Oyeleye, UK Advisor & Market Team Lead
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So thematic investing is one where you have to think about where it fits in your portfolio and fits into your goals. Whether you're looking at the public side or the private side, that's an important piece. If you're taking the public investing piece, it's very liquid and gives you easy returns to access. When you're thinking of the private investing space, you're thinking of long term investing, but it can be fairly illiquid. So you have to take that into consideration.
My recommendation is always start from the very basic. What is your goal? What are you trying to achieve with your wealth? What's the intent for your wealth? When you then start to put those segments and buckets in place, then you can then start to assign strategic asset allocations to those various segments and those various buckets. So that's the starting point.
When you then get to that position, you then need to figure out what you want to invest in, and in there you then get to thematic investing in that strategic allocation. So usually the conversation with the client starts with that. Get a goal and then get an understanding of where we're trying to achieve.
If I were to summarize, I would just pull out a few points that each of you have made, which is obviously it starts with the intent of your wealth. When we're thinking about resilient portfolios, we do see a healthy environment for risk. And the core-- the 60/40, the stock bond mix-- is absolutely a great starting point. But the capital expenditures that we're seeing coming through, which often are a function of government and corporate spending in response to some of these existential risks, is also in itself an investment opportunity where we can increase factor diversification often if client books have got out of kilter. And where we can, in private markets, increase yield and really capitalize on some of those newer opportunities as well as the more traditional sources of infrastructure.
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